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The use of expert systems as means of predicting medical diagnoses and recommending successful treatments has been a highly active research field in the past few years. Development of a medical expert systems that use artificial neural networks as their knowledge bases appears to be a promising method for predicting diagnosis and possible treatment routine. The purpose of this project was to construct and train an artificial neural network to serve capable of serving to serve as a dynamic 'look-up table' that can accurately classify medical diagnoses based on patients' given symptoms. The network may in the future serve as a knowledge base for an expert system specializing in medical diagnosis, testing evaluation, treatment evaluation, and treatment effectiveness. The project serves as the first component of a much larger system that will assist physicians facilitate the reasonable ordering tests and treatments and minimize unnecessary laboratory routines while reducing operational costs.
The network correctly classified 965 out of 1292 cases (74.7%) in the training set and 418 out of 554 cases (75.5%) in the testing set. In some cases of classification, the network'snetworks prediction appears to be reasonable even though they differ from the physician's diagnoses. The notion of "reasonable" can be implied if the treatment, need for further diagnostic testing, clinical follow-up, and outcome are equivalent. For instance, muscle strain was sometimes incorrectly diagnosed as abdominal pain if abdomen was the primary body part. If we accept these "reasonable" diagnoses, network performance increases by 6.5%.
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